Posted by John McClelland on July 03, 2012 in
uncategorized
Home prices due appear to be on a pretty abrubt increase. Constrained supply, combined with continued demand from investors and owner occupants is leading to higher bids.
We are beginning to see these same trends manifest in the Case-Shiller indices in the levels, first and second derivatives, as seen below.
So we know that in general, prices are on the increase. What we don't know is how sustainable they are if more supply is placed on the market. Recently, new listings have been nearly equivelent to c... read more
Posted by John McClelland on July 02, 2012 in
uncategorized
The supply situation continues to go unresolved. New listings are nearly matched by closings and inventory continues to decline. As a result, buyers and their agents are working extremely hard to match properties. For sellers, this could be a good time to list their home, since competition in many neighborhoods is sparce. Further, we are observing firming prices in many areas, but we do not know how long this will be sustained since we need to move past the peak selling season in order to observe if prices are bein... read more
Recent price pressures have yet to manifest in Case-Shiller Numbers
Posted by John McClelland on May 29, 2012 in
uncategorized
Today Standard & Poor's released the Case-Shiller home price index numbers. Recall that these tabulations end March 2012, a substantial lag. As I write this, there are just over 4,000 single family homes on the market that you can go buy today. That is just over one month of supply and is not being replenished quick enough. Further, when you slice up the inventory to what you might actually be targeting, homebuying this summer became much more challenging.
We have a price per-square-foot index for the Las V... read more
The supply situation continues to go unresolved. New listings are nearly matched by closings and inventory continues to decline. As a result, buyers and their agents are working extremely hard to match properties. For sellers, this could be a good time to list their home, since competition in many neighborhoods is sparce. Further, we are observing firming prices in many areas, but we do not know how long this will be sustained since we need to move past the peak selling season in order to observe if prices are bein... read more
Today's release reflects January, not exactly what we are seeing in real time
Posted by John McClelland on March 27, 2012 in
uncategorized
Today the Case-Shiller numbers were released and in Las Vegas, as most cities, prices registered a decline. However, as one can see from the tiered indices below, those declines have recently been moderating. Since these figures reflect January, these numbers are likely to depart from what is being estabished now. Inventories, which are largely being held back artificially and because of legal and proceedural rigidities, are at extreme lows unseen since the boom days. As a result, multiple offers are the norm, not ... read more